A Comprehensive Review of System Risk in Automotive Crash Safety

Occupant protection has been at the forefront of risk evaluation regarding vehicle crashworthiness design. However, the vehicle is a member of a larger transportation system with varied stakeholders. This article identifies an opportunity for assessing risk in a crash event through emerging safety science paradigms. Conventional Safety I and Safety II frameworks handle well-defined hazards but falter with uncertainty, variability, and emergent behaviors in real crashes. A comprehensive literature review was performed on peer-reviewed research to situate automotive crash safety risk within the Safety III paradigms. The review addresses two questions: (1) How is “risk” defined across the crash safety literature and adjacent safety science domains? and (2) What limitations arise from these definitions in practice? Findings show a dominant probabilistic framing alongside a minority of system-oriented interpretations. Current crash safety practice lacks a coherent, system-level definition of risk that integrates uncertainty and knowledge strength, leading to fragmented methods and limited alignment with modern safety science. Based on this synthesis, the article proposes guiding principles for Safety III-aligned guidelines and recommendations that integrate consequences, uncertainty, and knowledge strength to improve transparency, traceability, and adaptability in crash safety decision-making.