Use of Monte Carlo Simulation Techniques in Accident Reconstruction

This paper describes a straight-forward, automated approach to performing sensitivity analyses using Monte Carlo simulation techniques. Probability distributions are assigned to key input parameters, and results are expressed in the form of probability distributions of each of the desired output parameters. With this technique, it is possible to obtain quantitative results regarding the probability of results being within selected ranges. The approach is fast and automated, and provides a rational basis for dealing with uncertainty and ranges of parameters in accident reconstruction analyses.