Research on Prediction Methods for the Scale of Chartered Passenger Transport Capacity

Under the background of advancing the integration of urban and rural road passenger transport and the bus-oriented transformation of scheduled passenger transport, the traditional road passenger transport market has been severely impacted. There is an urgent need to promote the healthy development of chartered passenger transport to meet the public’s demand for high-quality travel. Based on the supply-demand balance theory, a prediction model for chartered passenger transport capacity scale was constructed, and the capacity scale of chartered passenger transport in a typical city was predicted as an example. Finally, countermeasures and suggestions for chartered passenger transport capacity allocation were proposed from five aspects: planning formulation, risk warning, mechanism clarification, performance evaluation, and responsibility implementation.