Research on the Prediction Method of Wind Speed Behavior under Multi-Featured Factors Based on Hybrid Time Series Model

2026-99-1733

5/22/2026

Authors
Abstract
Content
As a part of new energy, wind power generation requires precise wind speed forecasting to enhance grid reliability. This paper proposes a hybrid time-series pattern prediction framework designed to continuously forecast wind speed across multiple wind turbine units. The proposed framework incorporates three key components.
First of all, a multi-scale temporal pattern extraction module is introduced to improve the capability of the model to capture time-dependent structures, thereby enhancing predictive accuracy and robustness. Second, a three-dimensional adaptive probabilistic attention mechanism is developed to reinforce temporal feature interaction and fusion, ensuring both efficiency and performance. Third, a feature-factor pattern fusion strategy is applied to effectively model complex wind speed variations under diverse influencing factors, while reducing computational burden during training. Through comparative experiments, our model has better performance, obtaining an RMSE of 36.3, MAE of 5.34, and MAPE of 1.02%, which confirms its capability in delivering accurate and stable wind speed predictions.
Meta TagsDetails
DOI
https://doi.org/10.4271/2026-99-1733
Citation
Wang, H., Xiao, H., Zhu, X., and Gao, X., "Research on the Prediction Method of Wind Speed Behavior under Multi-Featured Factors Based on Hybrid Time Series Model," 2025 2nd International Conference on Sustainable Development and Energy Resources (SDER 2025), Shenzhen, China, August 1, 2025, https://doi.org/10.4271/2026-99-1733.
Additional Details
Publisher
Published
6 hours ago
Product Code
2026-99-1733
Content Type
Technical Paper
Language
English