Real-Time Exhaust Manifold Temperature Estimation Using Machine Learning–Based Virtual Sensors for Combustion Engines

2026-28-0193

11/5/2026

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Abstract
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Exhaust manifold temperature (EMT) plays a critical role in combustion control, engine performance, and thermal safeguarding of key hardware components in combustion engines. EMT is a primary power limiting constraint, as exceeding allowable temperature limits can lead to severe thermal damage to the exhaust manifold and turbine housing. Accurate estimation of EMT is therefore essential to ensure engine operation within allowable operating limits. EMT is typically measured using physical temperature sensors, which are prone to soot fouling, durability degradation, and calibration drift over time, while also increasing system cost and complexity. These limitations motivate the development of reliable virtual sensing approaches capable of replacing or augmenting physical EMT measurements.
This work presents a machine learning–based virtual sensor for real-time estimation of exhaust manifold temperature, with a strong focus on production feasibility within resource constrained engine electronic control units (ECUs).
Model development, training, and initial evaluation are conducted using data generated from a high-fidelity one-dimensional engine simulation environment that captures a wide range of steady state and transient operating conditions. The trained models are subsequently validated using engine measurement data to assess robustness and generalization under real world operating scenarios. Multiple lightweight supervised regression architectures are investigated to identify the best model that provides an effective balance between estimation accuracy and embedded implementation efficiency.
Hardware implementation confirmed production feasibility, with the proposed EMT virtual sensor achieving deterministic real-time execution while requiring only 20% additional CPU utilization and 3.93ms worst-case execution time.
The proposed framework establishes a feasible and scalable pathway for deploying machine learning–based EMT virtual sensors in engine controllers, enabling reduced reliance on physical exhaust manifold temperature sensors and supporting the transition toward intelligent, software defined combustion engine control systems.
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DOI
https://doi.org/10.4271/2026-28-0193
Citation
Bayyavarapu, C., Kamaraj, K., Mathur, N., Gupta, C., et al., "Real-Time Exhaust Manifold Temperature Estimation Using Machine Learning–Based Virtual Sensors for Combustion Engines," Asia Pacific Automotive Engineering Conference, New Delhi, India, November 12, 2026, https://doi.org/10.4271/2026-28-0193.
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Publisher
Published
Nov 05
Product Code
2026-28-0193
Content Type
Technical Paper
Language
English