Motion Planning Algorithm for Autonomous Driving Based on Trajectory Prediction

2025-99-0047

10/17/2025

Authors Abstract
Content
To solve the problems of trajectory prediction and obstacle avoidance of self-vehicles in autonomous driving, a obstacle avoidance algorithm that combines trajectory prediction and vehicle motion planning is proposed. Firstly, in this paper, Unscented Kalman filter and constant acceleration model, namely UKF + CA, as well as Hidden Markov model, namely HMM, are combined together. Predict the trajectory of the vehicle in front and integrate the prediction results obtained by these two methods, which can improve the accuracy of the prediction. Then, in the Frenet coordinate system, this paper adopts the methods of dynamic programming and quadratic programming to generate the planning trajectory of the self-aircraft. After that, this paper conducts collision detection between the fusion trajectory of the preceding vehicle and the planning trajectory of the self-vehicle. If there is a risk of collision, a virtual obstacle will be generated and the path will be re-planned to avoid the obstacle. The simulation results show that, whether in the straight-going scenario or the lane-changing scenario, this method can effectively improve the accuracy of predicting the trajectory of the vehicle in front, effectively avoid dynamic obstacles, enhance the driving efficiency, and also improve the safety and comfort of driving.
Meta TagsDetails
DOI
https://doi.org/10.4271/2025-99-0047
Pages
6
Citation
Cao, Z., Shen, Y., Hu, H., and Ouyang, L., "Motion Planning Algorithm for Autonomous Driving Based on Trajectory Prediction," SAE Technical Paper 2025-99-0047, 2025, https://doi.org/10.4271/2025-99-0047.
Additional Details
Publisher
Published
Oct 17
Product Code
2025-99-0047
Content Type
Technical Paper
Language
English