The Electric Car Made It After All

The role of automotive electronics in light duty vehicles is continuing to expand rapidly. In this paper an overview of a 1986 Delphi forecast of major trends is presented. Trends discussed include electronics as a fraction of vehicle and component cost and projections of basic vehicle features supported by electronic technology. In addition, basic trends in diagnostics and multiplexing are presented.

Several issues in support of automotive electronics are discussed, including the systems approach to vehicle engineering, the importance of developing a proper market strategy, and the continued major role of energy economics. The Delphi forecasting technique and its governing concepts are reviewed as a method to predict the future of automotive technology.