Current Situation of Ship Navigation and Research on the Route Reform Scheme in Typical Tributary-Confluence Waters of the Lower Yangtze River

The thalweg at the outlet of the Yuxikou Waterway transitions from right to left, forming a 90-degree bend. It then merges with the Xihua Waterway after passing Xiliang Mountain, creating a main-branch confluence water area. Taking a typical main-branch confluence water area in the lower reaches of the Yangtze River as the research object, this paper reflects the current navigation status and existing problems of ships in the area through the analysis of ship traffic flow. It classifies the risk levels of passing ships, proposes suggestions for route reform and optimization, and uses a model to verify the probability of collision accidents in the area after the implementation of the round-island navigation method, providing a reference for the navigation safety of passing ships.