Analysis of Traffic Characteristics and Research on Variable Speed Limit Control Method in the Confluence Area of Expressway under Ice and Snow Conditions

This study investigates the traffic characteristics and delays within expressway merging areas during ice and snow conditions. Using VISSIM-based simulations, the effects of such conditions on merging zones are thoroughly examined. Regression models are developed to describe the relationships between ramp delay, mainline travel time delay, mainline traffic flow, average ramp delay, and mainline traffic volume. Findings reveal that across all environmental scenarios, ramp vehicle delay increases with rising mainline traffic, with this effect being markedly more pronounced under ice and snow. Specifically, when mainline traffic remains below 2800 veh/h, ramp delay increases gradually, but beyond this threshold, the delay escalates rapidly. Building on these results, a variable speed limit control method leveraging the Q-learning algorithm is proposed. The outcomes of this research offer valuable insights for expressway design and traffic management strategies.