An Adaptive Cloud Prediction Network for Supporting Space-Ground Laser Communication Links

2026-99-2982

10/19/2026

Authors
Abstract
Content
Space-ground laser communication links are highly susceptible to interruptions caused by cloud cover. Reliable dynamic scheduling of ground stations and seamless link handover, therefore, requires accurate short-term cloud-layer forecasts. However, cloud evolution is inherently chaotic, and atmospheric conditions exhibit evident seasonal non-stationarity. These factors weaken the prediction stability of existing models and make it difficult to maintain consistent accuracy over extended forecasting horizons. To address these challenges, this paper proposes KFMNet, an adaptive cloud prediction network that integrates Koopman theory with frequency-domain Mamba modeling. Unlike conventional frameworks that mainly process cloud features in the spatial domain, KFMNet embeds a linear state-space modeling mechanism into the frequency-domain feature evolution process. Specifically, an adaptive spectral gating mechanism is used to capture global cloud distribution patterns in the frequency domain, thereby reducing the computational burden associated with high-resolution image sequences. Meanwhile, a Koopman seasonal gating module introduces monthly prior knowledge into the network, enabling the model to adapt to atmospheric drift across seasonal transitions. Within the encoder-decoder backbone, KFMNet jointly incorporates temporal modeling, frequency-domain representation, and physical consistency constraints, providing a more stable framework for short-term cloud prediction. We evaluate KFMNet on multi-season cloud images collected over Nanjing and Beijing. The climate profiles of these two cities are markedly different. Under these conditions, KFMNet achieves competitive accuracy in cloud segmentation and shows a better ability to handle seasonal and regional shifts than several reference models. In essence, our method adapts well to changing atmospheric conditions and provides a new cloud prediction approach for space-ground laser link assurance. This method combines physical interpretability with the actual needs of real-world deployment.
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DOI
https://doi.org/10.4271/2026-99-2982
Citation
Wu, X., Meng, X., Zhong, Y., Li, W., et al., "An Adaptive Cloud Prediction Network for Supporting Space-Ground Laser Communication Links," 2026 International Symposium on Aerospace Information and Industry Bilateral Innovation (ISA3I2026), Chongqing, China, April 24, 2026, https://doi.org/10.4271/2026-99-2982.
Additional Details
Publisher
Published
6 hours ago
Product Code
2026-99-2982
Content Type
Technical Paper
Language
English