Tank-to-wheels (TTW) CO2 reduction for ethanol blends is determined
from either gasoline composition or vehicle exhaust measurements. Fuels are
characterized using a carbon intensity (CI), which is the ratio of carbon (as
CO2 mass) in the fuel to the net heating value. Our objective is
to assess changes in CI of market gasoline with varying ethanol content that can
be used to appreciate change in vehicle tailpipe greenhouse gases (GHG) in
response to policy controlling the ethanol level in market fuels. Ethanol has
both a reduced carbon content and a reduced net (lower) heating value relative
to petroleum species, with a CI slightly lower than that of typical petroleum
gasoline. However, ethanol blending offers additional CI reduction because it
enables a reduction of aromatics in the petroleum blendstock for oxygenate
blending (BOB) while maintaining octane rating of the blend. Aromatics have a CI
about 20% higher than paraffins. The primary refinery option for aromatic
reduction is through lower severity or throughput for the gasoline reformer,
which ultimately reduces CI in the BOB and the finished blend. Expected gasoline
market blends were projected by developing a model that addressed US refining
and blending in response to octane requirements. A TTW blending CI, or BCI, for
ethanol is proposed to describe the total CI reduction in the finished blend
enabled by the ethanol. The ethanol BCI was found to average at 59
gCO2/MJ for E10, E15, and E20 (10%, 15%, and 20% ethanol by
volume) market fuels in this study. This is substantially below the ethanol
chemical CI of 71.0 gCO2/MJ and petroleum CI of 73.5 g
CO2/MJ due to the enabling of aromatic reduction. E10 in comparison
to E0 (purely petroleum) is estimated to offer a national US tailpipe
CO2 reduction of 16.6 billion kg annually.