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The Electric Car Made It After All
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English
Abstract
The role of automotive electronics in light duty vehicles is continuing to expand rapidly. In this paper an overview of a 1986 Delphi forecast of major trends is presented. Trends discussed include electronics as a fraction of vehicle and component cost and projections of basic vehicle features supported by electronic technology. In addition, basic trends in diagnostics and multiplexing are presented.
Several issues in support of automotive electronics are discussed, including the systems approach to vehicle engineering, the importance of developing a proper market strategy, and the continued major role of energy economics. The Delphi forecasting technique and its governing concepts are reviewed as a method to predict the future of automotive technology.
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Citation
Cole, D., "The Electric Car Made It After All," SAE Technical Paper 861046, 1986, https://doi.org/10.4271/861046.Also In
References
- University of Michigan Delphi Forecast and Analysis of the U.S. Automotive Industry in the 1980's Office for the Study of Automotive Transportation, College of Engineering, and Industrial Development Division, Institute of Science & Technology, University of Michigan 1982
- University of Michigan Delphi Forecast and Analysis of the U.S. Automotive Industry Through 1992 Office for the Study of Automotive Transportation, University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute, and the Industrial Development Division, Institute of Science & Technology, University of Michigan 1984
- Dalkey N.C. “The Delphi Opinion” Memo RM-5888 PR 14 Rand Corporation 1969
- U.S. Automotive Industry Trends for the 1980's - A Delphi Forecast Arthur Anderson & Co. 69 West Washington St., Chicago, IL 60602 1979