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Establishing Motor Vehicle Accident Involvement - An Epidemiological Approach
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English
Abstract
The problem of establishing accident involvement rates for road vehicles is a complex one. Difficulties derive from the large number of factors-other than those connected with the vehicle only-in the man-vehicle-road environment complex. Proving ground testing of vehicles may lead to results of limited applicability. Long-term performance on highways is the ultimate criterion of safety.
The results of many studies indicate that accidents attributable to direct vehicle defects amount to only 8% of the total. Study of these data alone is not sufficient to establish the safety performance of a particular vehicle.
To establish vehicle accident involvement rates, both for particular vehicles and for systems of vehicles, the authors present a model that has been simplified to include traffic density, vehicle deployment, and driver age-three important factors for which epidemiological data are available or may be obtained. In addition, using a novel graphic technique, comparisons of vehicles for variations in accident rates and exposure (mileage) are performed with ease. The exposure-accident graphs of this technique permit meaningful analysis of accident rate trends.
Examples are presented for classes of vehicles operating in the United States and Israel, and a “case study” is made for evaluating the accident involvement rate of a typical 2-door, medium-priced passenger car.
Authors
Citation
Peranio, A. and Katz, A., "Establishing Motor Vehicle Accident Involvement - An Epidemiological Approach," SAE Technical Paper 700440, 1970, https://doi.org/10.4271/700440.Also In
References
- Peranio A. Katz A. “Analyzing Road Safety Statistics.” Technion R&D Foundation Road Safety Center Haifa, Israel October 1967
- Peranio A. “Mode of Transport and Accidents.” XVII International Conference on Communication International Institute of Communication Genoa October 1969
- National Safety Council “Accident Facts 1967.” Chicago
- Automotive Safety Foundation U.S. Bureau of Public Roads “Traffic Control and Roadway Elements.” 1963
- Katz A. “Aspects of Traffic Safety Measurement and Program Evaluation.” Technion R&D Foundation Road Safety Center Haifa, Israel October 1969
- Peranio A. “Logic and Road Safety Research.” Traffic Quarterly XXIII 1 January 1969 123 132
- Peranio A. “Human Limitations and Highway Transportation-An Analysis Using a Conceptual Model.” 37 March 1969 4.1 4.15