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Electrified Vehicle Penetration Scenarios in Europe: Economic and Environmental Impacts
Technical Paper
2012-01-1034
ISSN: 0148-7191, e-ISSN: 2688-3627
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English
Abstract
What will the passenger car fleet look like over the next two
decades' As most expected, affordability and convenience are
the major drivers of new vehicle technology penetration into the
market. Within this scope, vehicle electrification strategy to
limit oil dependence and meet the European targets for CO₂
emissions should be cost-effective and convenient to the buyer.
This paper will focus first, through different economic models,
on the penetration of passenger electrified vehicles (Plug-in
Hybrid Vehicles PHVs and Electric Vehicles EVs) in Europe (EU15: 15
European Union member countries) up to 2030. Economic models are
based on real-world-use behaviors and driving patterns in order to
compute fuel and energy consumption and to estimate total cost of
the vehicle including incentives. The economic models use household
wages in order to later make conclusions on vehicle technology
market shares by vehicle classes. Later, the study investigates how
user behavior, fuel cost and electric power prices would impact the
electrified vehicle penetration of the car fleet. Furthermore, the
impact of electrified vehicle fleet penetration on reduction of CO₂
emissions and on electricity demand is assessed.
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Authors
Citation
Zgheib, E. and Clodic, D., "Electrified Vehicle Penetration Scenarios in Europe: Economic and Environmental Impacts," SAE Technical Paper 2012-01-1034, 2012, https://doi.org/10.4271/2012-01-1034.Also In
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