This content is not included in
your SAE MOBILUS subscription, or you are not logged in.
Sustainability Assessment Using Dynamic Systems Modelling
Technical Paper
2001-01-3740
ISSN: 0148-7191, e-ISSN: 2688-3627
Annotation ability available
Sector:
Language:
English
Abstract
A dynamic systems modelling approach is examined for its suitability for assessing sustainable performance in technological innovation. A computer model of the energy needs in the Canadian road transportation sector was developed to study the sustainable performance of bio-ethanol. It considers the potential increase in the consumption of energy as the economy expands in the next 25 years, taking into account demographic trends, consumer choices, and technological advances. While the primary environmental measure tracked is focused on greenhouse gas emissions with respect to the Kyoto target, it also includes considerations for land use and farming practices, and distinguishes between fossil and bio-carbon emissions. As well, it allows for different sources of biomass, including crop byproducts and dedicated crops. Various scenarios for bio-ethanol to penetrate the consumer market were set up to investigate a range of future evolution paths.
Authors
Citation
Chan, A., Minns, D., McInnis, B., and Hoffman, R., "Sustainability Assessment Using Dynamic Systems Modelling," SAE Technical Paper 2001-01-3740, 2001, https://doi.org/10.4271/2001-01-3740.Also In
References
- Hoffman, R. McInnis B. C. Page W. S. “Process Analysis” The Encyclopedia of Materials Science and Engineering Bever M.B. Pergammon Press 1986
- Gault, F.D. Hamilton K.E. Hoffman R.B. McInnis B.C. “The Design Approach to Socio-Economic Modeling” Futures February 1987
- Ayres, R. U. Resources, Environment and Economics: Applications of the Materials/Energy Balance Principle Wiley New York 1978
- Checkland, Peter Systems Thinking, Systems Practice John Wiley and Sons Toronto 1981
- Capra, Fritjof “Criteria of Systems Thinking” Futures October 1985
- Gault, F.D. Hamilton K.E. Hoffman R.B. McInnis B.C. “The Design Approach to Socio-Economic Modeling,” Futures February 1987
- Gault, F.D. Hoffman R.B. McInnis B.C. “The Path to Process Data,” Futures October 1985
- Georgescu-Roegan, Nicholas The Entropy Law and the Economic Process Harvard University Press Cambridge 1971
- Society of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry (SETAC) A Technical Framework for Life-Cycle Assessment Smugglers Notch, Vermont August 1990 SETAC Foundation January 1991
- Levelton Engineering Ltd. Assessment of Net Emissions of Greenhouse Gases from Ethanol-Gasoline Blends in Southern Ontario Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada August 1999
- Levelton Engineering Ltd. Assessment of Net Emissions of Greenhouse Gases from Ethanol-Gasoline Blends in Canada: Lignocellulosic Feedstocks Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada December 1999
- Natural Resources Canada Office of Energy Efficiency, Transportation Energy Demand Database
- Statistics Canada Human Activity and the Environment 2000 2000
- Statistics Canada Agricultural Census Field Crop Reporting Series 1987 - 2000
- Statistics Canada Agricultural Census Grain Trade of Canada 1987 - 1998
- Janzen Henry Dr. Lethbridge Research Centre, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Lethbridge, Alberta