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Future cost estimation of hybrid electric vehicle using the learning curve
Technical Paper
2000-05-0354
Sector:
Language:
English
Abstract
There is a growing interest in hybrid electric vehicles due to
environmental concerns. Recent efforts are directed toward
developing an improved main component system for the hybrid
electric vehicle applications. Soon after the introduction of
electric starter for internal combustion engine early this century,
despite being energy efficient and nonpolluting, electric vehicle
lost the battle completely to internal combustion engine due to its
limited range and inferior performance. Hybrid electric vehicles
offer the most promising solutions to reduce the emission of
vehicles.
This paper describes a method for cost reduction estimation of
hybrid electric vehicle. We used a cost reduction structure that
consisted of five major subsystems (three types battery and two
types motor) for hybrid electric vehicle. Especially, we estimated
the potential for cost reductions in hybrid electric vehicle as a
function of time using the learning curve. Also, we estimated the
potentials of cost by deprecation.
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