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Aviation Accident Causal Analysis
Technical Paper
1999-01-1432
ISSN: 0148-7191, e-ISSN: 2688-3627
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English
Abstract
This paper presents a top-down methodology for causal analysis of fatal aviation accidents. The methodology incorporates a three tiered hierarchical approach to analyze accident causes and factors. These include looking at the big picture or “profile” of accident categories, followed by a detailed analysis that “fingerprints” each profile. Finally, an in-depth analysis is performed for each fingerprint which produces a “DNA” sequence breakdown for each accident category. The paper includes analysis results of National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) accidents from 1990-1996. Key areas are identified which most significantly impact current accident rates. This includes a ranking by accident type as well as identifying focus areas for future research.
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Citation
Ford, C., Jack, T., Crisp, V., and Sandusky, R., "Aviation Accident Causal Analysis," SAE Technical Paper 1999-01-1432, 1999, https://doi.org/10.4271/1999-01-1432.Also In
References
- Sutton, R. The Aviation Safety Program Fatal Aircraft Accidents Category Database Benchmark Years1990-1996 Aviation Research Inc. May 1998
- Ford, C. Report of Survey Findings On Aircraft Safety Modeling Methodologies, NYMA Inc January 31 1998
- Ford, C., Intermediate Report on Aviation Accident Analysis, NYMA Inc, October 30 1998
- Shappell, S.A. Wiegmann D.A. Accident Investigation: A Human Factors Analysis and Classification System (HFACS), as presented at the SAE: Advances in Aviation Safety, April 1998