Product Life Predictions from Warranty Data

A method is described for predicting the reliability and useful life of an automotive powertrain system using a warranty database or from warranty records. The database requires failure corrections for misdiagnosis from duplicate data, trouble-not-identified records and multiple failure modes. Compensations not included in the database for high-mileage drop-out and warranty repairs less than the deductible amount, are also necessary. As an example, the cumulative hazard function of the Bathtub Hazard Rate distribution is fitted to the converted removal data of a typical automotive powertrain, to determine the product life characteristics. An algorithm written in Basic language is used to obtain the analytical results.